Super Bowl LIII Free Pick- Patriots at Rams

Super Bowl LIII at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta kicks off at 6:30 p.m. this Sunday on CBS. The New England Patriots remain 2.5-point favorite over the Los Angeles Rams through the first week of betting and VietBet’s total line stands at 56.5 points.

Current Odds:
Los Angeles Rams      56.5
New England Patriots -2.5

The Patriots will be going for their second Super Bowl title in three seasons after beating Kansas City 37-32 as three-point road underdogs in their eighth-straight run to the AFC title game. They needed overtime to get past the Chiefs, taking the total OVER Elite-rated VietBet’s 56-point betting line along the way. The total went OVER in New England’s two postseason wins after staying UNDER in eight of its last nine regular season games.

Tom Brady is the clear favorite to win MVP honors on Sunday night, with his team favored to win. He completed 64 of his 90 passing attempts in New England’s first two playoff games for 691 yards and two touchdowns. He also got picked off twice. The biggest weapon for the Patriots on Sunday could be rookie running back Sony Michel. He ran the ball 53 times in his last two games for 242 yards and five rushing touchdowns.
Los Angeles got past Dallas straight-up and against the spread as a seven-point home favorite in the Divisional Round. They also needed overtime to beat New Orleans 26-23 in the NFC Championship as a three-point road underdog. The total stayed UNDER 55 points in that game. The Rams have covered the closing spread at VietBet in their last four games and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of their last seven outings.

The combination of third-year quarterback Jared Goff throwing the ball and All-Pro running back Todd Gurley moving it downfield on the ground is the Rams’ best chance to win with an added twist. Veteran back CJ Anderson was the team’s leading rusher over the last two games with 167 yards on 39 carries. Goff threw for 483 yards and Gurley gained 125 yards on 20 rushing attempts.

Each team’s star power has the ability to turn this game into a shootout. New England shut Kansas City out in the first half of the AFC Championship before giving up 31 points. I think the Patriots are going to have to score more than 30 points this Sunday to get past the Rams to take the total OVER once again.

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