Rice Owls @ UAB Blazers 3:00 PM ET
Game#395-396
A consensus of the top rated offshore sportsbooks calculates UAB to presently be a 10.5-point favorite in this contest.
Rice (1-7) enters this week losers of 6 straight games, and they failed to cover on 5 of those occasions. The Owls have scored 12 points or less in 5 of those 6 losses. As a matter of fact, they’ve scored 12 or less in 6 of 8 games in 2017. Furthermore, Rice has a putrid -16 turnover differential this season, and besides their anemic offensive production, it’s a major reason why they’re enduring an abysmal year.
UAB has gone a very respectable 5-3 this season, and that includes a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS at home. The Blazers have seen 2 of their 3 defeats come by a combined 4 points, and they could very easily be 7-1 at this juncture.
Any favorite of 10.5 to 21.0-points that possesses a winning record (UAB), versus an opponent that’s failed to cover 4 or 5 of their previous 6 games, and they (Rice) have a win percentage of .250 or less, resulted in those sizable favorites going 34-9 ATS (79.1%) during the past 5 seasons.
Pick: UAB -10.5
UL-Lafayette Rajun Cajuns @ South Alabama Jaguars 4:00 PM ET
Game# 397-398
I’m looking at using the total in this contest. At this present time (11/3), the college football betting odds at Heritage is posting a total of 53.0.
South Alabama has gone under the total in 7 straight contests, and there was a combined average of 45.0 points scored per game. Conversely, South Alabama has gone under the total in their last 3 games, and there was a combined 39.3 points scored per game. These teams have met 4 times since 2013, and each of those games stayed under the total.
Sometimes it’s best to keep things simple and not overanalyze. That’s the case for me in this specific situation. This game has all the earmarks of a low scoring affair, and one of my college football predictions will be indicative of that sentiment.
Pick: Under 53.0
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ UNLV Rebels 6:00 PM ET
Game# 403-404
At the time of this writing, the college football odds at Bookmaker indicates that UNLV is a 7.5-point favorite.
Hawaii has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during their last 3 away games, and they lost by an average of 18.0 points per contest. The Rainbow Warriors will be out to revenge last season’s 41-38 home loss to UNLV.
UNLV is coming off last Saturday’s 26-16 upset win at Fresno State, and they did so as a mammoth 21.5-point underdog. Despite their subpar overall record, the Rebels have a stellar +7 turnover differential during its previous 6 games.
Any conference home favorite of 7.0 to 25.0-points (UNLV), coming off a conference away underdog of 11.0 or more straight up win, versus an opponent (Hawaii) playing with revenge, resulted in those favorites going 23-5 ATS (82.1%) since 1984. I’m laying the points for one of my Week 10 college football picks.
Pick: UNLV -7.5
Ross Benjamin is a top sports analyst and one of the sports industry's most respected handicappers. Follow him on Twitter: @RossBenjamin1