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College Football – September Bye Weeks




Jay takes a look at the college football September bye week schedule and examines how scheduling plays a part in winning when betting on NCAA football games.

Evaluating Teams with Early-Season September Bye Weeks

Two weeks into the college football season and we’ve witnessed the usual suspects, upsets and adjustments in price by the linesmaker. As we adjust our power ratings on teams and continue to evaluate the players’ performance on the playing field and the supporting statistics, it’s important to not only understand motivation and potential letdown situations for players and teams, but also how scheduling plays a part in the process. 

I have outlined the college football September bye week schedule along with each team’s pre and post-bye opponents. In college football, this can be a real benefit to the rested and prepared team, especially later in the season. When playing at home off a bye, there is a solid situational edge when playing an opponent that is not off a bye, and usually a motivational edge especially if a quality or capable team is off a loss. 

Plenty of situations and profiles to consider as you evaluate these bye teams, and we’ll review more as the season moves along. But recognize scheduling situations and take note of teams off a bye, and those playing at home that may also have additional motivation that includes significant redemption.  

This is another piece to add to your handicapping arsenal, but know that you still must evaluate the match-ups, motivation, injuries, statistical profiles and betting lines at the sportsbooks. The linemaker makes adjustments to early season results, power ratings and to the bye week situation, and especially to rested and ready teams playing with redemption.    

Bye Team Conference Pre-Bye Post-Bye Notes
9/15 Michigan State Big Ten at Arizona State at Indiana MSU beat Indiana 17-9 LY
9/15 Air Force Mountain West at Florida Atlantic at Utah State Beat Utah State 38-35 LY
9/15 Louisiana Tech Conference USA Southern at LSU LT is 2-10 in non-conf road since 2013
9/15 Rice Conference USA at Hawaii at Southern Miss Lost to So. Miss 43-23 LY
9/22 Northwestern Big Ten Akron Michigan Last played Michigan in 2015
9/22 California Pac 12 Idahom State Oregon Pac 12 opener, lost to OU 45-24 LY
9/22 Utah Pac 12 Washington at Washington State Lost to WSU 33-25 LY
9/22 Colorado Pac 12 New Hampshire UCLA (Fri) UCLA has lost 10 straight Pac 12 road games
9/22 UCLA PAc12 Fresno State at Colorado (Fri) Beat UCLA 27-23 LY
9/22 Boist State Mountain West at Oklahoma State at Wyoming Beat WYO 24-14 LY
9/22 Wyoming Mountain West Wolford Boise State WYO trails series 11-1 (won as DD Dog 2016)
9/22 New Mexico Mountain West at New Mexico State Liberty First meeting vs Liberty
9/22 Fresno State Mountain West at UCLA Toledo Lost 52-17 at Toledo in 2016
9/22 San Jose State Mountain West at Oregon Hawaii Lost 37-26 to Hawaii LY
9/22 UAB Conference USA Tulane Charlotte Lost 25-24 in OT to Charlotte LY as fav
9/29 Missouri SEC Georgia at South Caroina Lost to SC as favorite LY
9/29 Maryland Big Ten Minnesota at Michigan Lost to Michigan 35-10 LY
9/29 Wisconsin Big Ten at Iowa Nebraska Beat Nebraska 38-17 LY
9/29 Iowa Big Ten Wisconsin at Minnesota beat MN 17-10 LY
9/29 Minnesota Big Ten at Maryland Iowa Floyd of Rosedale (pig) trophy
9/29 Illinois Big Ten Penn State at Rutgers Lost to Rutgers as favorite LY
9/29 New Mexico State Independent at UTEP Liberty First meeting vs Liberty
9/29 South Florida (USF) American East Carolina at Massachusetts First meeting vs Massachusetts
9/29 Navy American at SMU at Air Force Beat Air Force 48-45 LY
9/29 Houston American Texas Southern Tulsa (Thur) Lost to Tulsa 45-17 LY as 13' pt fav
9/29 Tulsa American at Temple at Houston (Thur) Tulsa won 2 games LY include vs Houston
9/29 Utah State Mountain West Air Force at BYU (Fri) Beat BYU 40-24 LY as slight 'Dog
9/29 Colorado State Mountain West Illinois State at San Jose State Beat SJS 42-14 LY
9/29 San Diego State Mountain West Eastern Michigan at Boise State Lost to Boise 31-14 LY
9/29 UNLV Mountain West at Arkansas State New Mexico Beat NM 38-35 LY as 'Dog
9/29 MTSU Conference USA at Georgia  Florida Atlantic Lost to FAU 38-20 LY
9/29 Georgia Southern Sun Belt at Clemson Arkansas State Lost to Ark State 43-25 LY
9/29 Texas State Sun Belt at UTSA Louisiana Lost to UL 24-7 LY

FairwayJay is a leading national sports handicapper and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful analysts. Read more great insights from Jay here and follow him on Twitter: @FairwayJay