FairwayJay found winning underdogs all season long
FairwayJay crushed it this season posting weekly NFL underdog picks for Off Shore Gaming Association. Bettors rushed to the window with FairwayJay's point of attack play and picks producing a record of 28-12 ATS (70.0%) following a 3-0 sweep in Week 18. A proven performer for the past five seasons posting free picks at OSGA, FairwayJay's NFL underdog picks are now 130-91 ATS (58.8%) with 68 outright winners. A good season for NFL handicappers is winning 55-56% ATS selecting sides, or including totals. A great season is winning 60% or more of your picks over 17 weeks, or in 2021 the first season with 18 weeks with the expansion to an 17-game schedule.
When a handicapper can hit better than 65% or an elite 70% ATS rate, well that's a very, very rare and desirable accomplishment. Followers of FairwayJay witnessed such a performance in the 2021 NFL season, as the longtime Off Shore Gaming Association contributor, handicapper, writer and reporter posted a record of 28-12 ATS selecting only underdogs including 21 outright winners.
"Game selection on our picks was better this season despite having to navigate and monitor more COVID-19 issues, line adjustments and players status each week", said FairwayJay. "It was a good year for underdogs and fun to capitalize and profit from the experience this season."
Here is a 2021-22 season recap of FairwayJay's NFL underdog picks (bold = outright underdog winners).
Week | Game | Picks | Won/Lost | ML | Record |
1 | Cleveland at Kansas City | Browns +6 | Won | 1--0 | |
LA Chargers at Washington | WFT PK | Lost | 1--1 | ||
Baltimore at Las Vegas | Raiders +4.5 | Won | 175 | 2--1 | |
2 | Dallas at LA Chargers | Cowboys +3.5 | Won | 160 | 3--1 |
Kansas City at Baltimore | Ravens +3.5 | Won | 170 | 4--1 | |
New Orleans at Carolina | Panthers +3.5 | Won | 160 | 5--1 | |
3 | Seattle at Minnesota | Vikings +2 | Won | 110 | 6--1 |
4 | Baltimore at Denver | Broncos +1 | Lost | 6--2 | |
NY Giants at New Orleans | Giants +7.5 | Won | 275 | 7--2 | |
Tampa Bay at New England | Patriots +7 | Won | 8--2 | ||
5 | New Orleans at Washington | WFT +2.5 | Lost | 8--3 | |
Buffalo at Kansas City | Bills +3 | Won | 125 | 9--3 | |
6 | Jacksonville vs Miami (London) | Jaguars +3 | Won | 130 | 10--3 |
7 | Cincinnati at Baltimore | Bengals +6.5 | Won | 230 | 11--3 |
NY Jets at New England | Jets +7 | Lost | 11--4 | ||
New Orleans at Seattle | Seahawks +5 | Won | 12--4 | ||
8 | Philadelphia at Detroit | Lions +3.5 | Lost | 12--5 | |
9 | Minnesota at Baltimore | Vikings +6 | Won | 13-5 | |
Cleveland at Cincinnati | Browns +3 | Won | 125 | 14-5 | |
10 | Cleveland at New England | Browns +2.5 | Lost | 14-6 | |
Minnesota at LA Chargers | Vikings +3 | Won | 145 | 15-6 | |
Philaelphia at Denver | Eagles +3 | Won | 125 | 16-6 | |
11 | Miami at NY Jets | Jets +3.5 | Lost | 16-7 | |
Washington at Carolina | WFT +3.5 | Won | 150 | 17-7 | |
Houston at Tennessee | Texans +10 | Won | 380 | 18-7 | |
Green Bay at Minnesota | Vikings +2 | Won | 105 | 19-7 | |
Dallas at Kansas City | Cowboys +3.5 | Lost | 19-8 | ||
12 | Chicago at Detroit | Lions +3.5 | Won | 20-8 | |
Seattle at Washington | WFT PK | Won | -105 | 21-8 | |
13 | None | ||||
14 | New Orleans at NY Jets | Jets +5.5 | Lost | 21-9 | |
Seattle at Houston | Texans +8.5 | Lost | 21-10 | ||
15 | Kansas City at LA Chargers | Chargers +3 | Lost | 21-11 | |
Arizona at Detroit | Lions +13.5 | Won | 550 | 22-11 | |
16 | Detroit at Atlanta | Lions +6 | Won | 23-11 | |
Buffalo at New England | Bills +2.5 | Won | 120 | 24-11 | |
Washington at Dallas | WFT +10.5 | Lost | 24-12 | ||
17 | Kansas City at Cincinnati | Bengals +5.5 | Won | 190 | 25-12 |
18 | Kansas City at Denver | Broncos +11.5 | Won | 26-12 | |
New England at Miami | Dolphins +6 | Won | 230 | 27-12 | |
LA Chargers at Las Vegas | Raiders +3 | Won | 135 | 28-12 |
If you bet $220 to win $200 on every underdog ATS that FairwayJay released, your bankroll would have looked like this.
$200 x 28 wins = $5,600
$220 x 12 losses = $2,640
2021 season profit = $2,960 (+14.8 units at 1 unit per game)
Return on Investment (ROI) = 37.0%
2021 season profit betting at reduced juice sportsbooks using -107 vig = $3,032
Betting an additional 25% of straight bets or $50 on every moneyline offered and selected.
$50 x 21 wins = $1,945
$50 x 19 losses = $950
2021 season ML profit = $995
Total profit betting $220 on every underdog pick ATS (-110) and $50 on every pick on the moneyline = $3,955
Dime bettors betting $1,100 on every selection ATS won a net profit of $14,800.
OSGA top online sportsbook bettors were treated to a VIP experience with winning free picks from FairwayJay and more complimentary member-only contests this season. Follow FairwayJay here at OSGA.com and on Twitter for more gambling insights.
Ahead of the NFL playoffs, we wish everyone continued success and good times as you enjoy betting the games and all the sports action.