NCAA Football Props -- Georgia-Tennessee: How many plays will the playmakers make?

  • In Charles Jay
  • Sat, Nov 5th, 2022 1:55:06 am
  • By Charles Jay - Exclusive to OSGA


Hendon Hooker and Stetson Bennett may have a quarterback duel as the Georgia Bulldogs and Tennessee Volunteers do battle in a clash of #1 and #2 teams.


When you have a big game you have some big props. And the game between the Georgia Bulldogs and the Tennessee Volunteers is about as big as it gets.

This game matches up a pair of quarterbacks who may not get drafted to high ultimately, but are extremely efficient at the collegiate level. And there are obviously plenty of great athletes involved in the festivities. After all, this is the Southeastern Conference.

So we're going to take a look at the way we think this game might unfold, relative to some of the props that have been posted in the Prop Builder app at BetOnline.

It may be interesting to some that George's Stetson Bennett has a higher over-under in passing yards than Tennessee's Hendon Hooker. But maybe that shouldn't be a surprise at all.

Stetson Bennett -- 293.5 yards (-114 both ways)
Hendon Hooker -- 276.5 yards (-114 both ways)

Hooker's season averages are higher then the number posted, but we know that the way Tennessee plays, they're going to balance things a little bit more between the run and the pass than Georgia is. When you have averaged 199.4 yards per game on the ground, you are doing some serious work.

And we wonder if the game plan being put together by Kirby Smart and his Georgia defensive staff is it going to be designed to take away the big-play receiver as much as possible. In this instance, that's Jalin Hyatt, who runs 4.3 in the 40-yard dash and has more yards than any other receiver in the SEC. With 20 yards a catch and 14 touchdowns, he is the guy who stretches the defense. Who wouldn't expect him to draw more attention but anyone else on the Tennessee offense?

He's averaging more than 100 yards per game, but if Georgia makes a concentrated effort to shut him down, they might be able to keep him below 78.5 yards, which is his over-under figure. You can get a price of -108 on that, and we may take that plunge.

We also know that Cedric Tillman is going to draw some attention. When a guy has 200 yards against you, as Tillman did against the Dawgs last season, you're not going to leave him alone.

So that's going to leave some room for at least one of the Tennessee receivers, perhaps in the underneath routes. And that might just be Bru McCoy, who averages 15 yards a catch and has a rather reasonable over-under figure of 49.5 yards. At a price of -115, we might make an investment on that.

Let's go back to Bennett for a second. We know that he lacks what some people might refer to as a big-play receiver; one who scares everybody. At the same time, he gets the ball down the field, averages almost nine yards per attempt, and actually has more passing yards than Hooker. We don't know how much Georgia is going to run, but they have passed the ball 51% of the time this season, and that's hardly conservative. Brock Bowers figures to be a go-to guy here, and when you are facing a defense that has given up more passing yards per game than all but ten teams at the FBS level, perhaps the versatility of Bowers is enough to confuse them often enough for him to get 65.5 yards receiving. So we'll lay the -130 OVER price on this one.

Since Tennessee's secondary is much more pliable than that of Georgia, we'll ultimately take a shot that Bennett can get close to the 300 mark and go OVER on the 293.5.

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