Week 6 NFL Picks - Thursday Fright Night



Preview and pick for the Thursday night NFL matchup between the Commanders and Bears.

Betting tips for TNF

Week 6 will start out with a whimper. The Washington Commanders will be playing the Bears in Chicago and we believe we have the goods. Over the past five weeks, both teams have proven themselves to be awful on the field. The question to answer before kickoff is: Which team is worse?

Commanders Notes

The Commanders are 1 – 4 and have 90 points in five games. Digging deeper, you can see that the first two games were against Jacksonville and Detroit, which accounts for 55 of those 90 points. Commanders betting tipsGames 3 and 4 saw the Commanders score 10 and 8 points, respectively, against the Cowboys and Eagles. Add in last week’s 17 points against the Titans and you’ve got Washington’s dreadful 90 points of production. Commanders head coach Ron Rivera even went so far as to  call out his quarterback Carson Wentz earlier this week, noting poor QB play as a reason their offense has been so horrendous. The team cannot score against a good team and hasn’t shown up against a bad one. Compare this to the 128 points they’ve given up, averaging over 25 points a game.

Bears Notes

The Bears are 2 – 3 and at home tonight for TNF. They have played against the 49ers, Packers, Texans, Giants and Vikings. Week 1 was the mud bowl in Chicago vs the 49ers. Bears Commanders free pickWeek 2 was an Aaron Rogers Clinic, followed by a win at home against Houston. Over the last two weeks, they showed a lot of heart in losing 20-12 in New York and  29 – 22 in Minnesota. The Bears have clearly played against better teams. It's also clear that their defense is the 3rd worst in the NFL, having given up a whopping 136 points. On average, they give up 27 points a game and an eye-popping 170 yards per game on the ground.

In the line posted at most of the top online sportsbooks, the game is a Pick 'Em with the juice heading towards the Washington Commanders. The total posted at BetUS is an ultra low 38.

Both teams’ offensive lines are in the bottom 10 in the league. The Commanders average 18 points a game and the Bears 17 points a game. The betting line is a pick ’em. It's gonna be ugly.

The pick of the day is a small bet on the Bears at home. But, the real value this his game, is to sit back, watch, and see how these two teams fare to use for or against them in the following week. The Bears are up in New England and the Commanders are home against Green Bay. There might be a huge play against one or both of these teams in Week 7.

Howard Schwartz has been providing betting insights for over a decade on Facebook. Check out his social media group and website pfww.vegas for more betting tips and NFL wagering advice.


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