Â Week 8 of the NFL season was another successful one as I continue to roll. But this week was a bit different. There were no last minute sweats, there was nothing that forced me to head an extra time or two to the fridge and absolutely nothing that forced an errant hat to be
Week 8 of the NFL season was another successful one as I continue to roll. But this week was a bit different. There were no last minute sweats, there was nothing that forced me to head an extra time or two to the fridge and absolutely nothing that forced an errant hat to be thrown at the flatscreen.
One thing did become evident before the NFL on Sunday . . . I suck at picking college football games. Just terrible. Michigan State goes into Iowa as a 6.5 point dog. I loved this game. Iowa won 37-6, No Contest. I did fare a little better with a $20 3-team parlay. I had the over in the Auburn/Mississippi barnburner and Penn state getting 3. Both plays were easy winners. But, I had to add in that 3rd team and took USC at home, where they are usually tough. Oregon was on fire but I am a non-believer in the Ducks. Instead USC got crushed, my play went down the tubes and I now believe in the Ducks. Rated #1, they are giving 35.5 this week and who knows, could fall trap to the curse of being #1 in 2010. Either way, I am done betting NCAA football having lost some dough every week I have played the college game. This week the NCAA cost me a cool $53
Still, none of my plays went down to the wire and that trend continued on Sunday.
My favorite play of the day was the Pack heading into NY to face the Jets. I think that the Jets flap their gums a little too much to ever be as good as the class of the league and the Packers have been playing very solid ball. The line of +6.5 was just too much to give Aaron Rogers and a solid Packer defense. The game was real yawner, yet it still kept me engaged for most of the contest as it was way too close to celebrate for the fist 45 minutes of action. Only up by 3 points heading into the 4th quarter, I did think in the back of my head that a TD would put the Jets ahead, but not cover. In the 4th quarter, the Jets drove the ball down the field having started at their own 5. Itâ€™s OK. They still wonâ€™t cover here. Then Sanchez tosses one right to Charles Woodson and I feel that victory is mine. It gets sealed on the ensuing drive as the Pack kick a field goal to go up 6-0. At this point the Jets need two touchdowns to beat me and I cannot see that happening. This one is in the bag! I get off of the couch and check my balance. That is when I noticed that my St. Louis -3 play is going to cash too. And, after the early games I will be up $60 and back in the black for the weekend. And no sweating!
I fired up another 3-team teaser this week with Jacksonville (+12.5) as an easy winner not needing the points, but the other two games were the exact opposite. Over 39 in the Kansas City/Buffalo game, in which I still canâ€™t figure out whether the Bills D was great of the KC offense anemic. It did kill my roll when the game went into OT offering no chance that either team had a 19 point play in thier back pocket. Oh yeah, the third play was a late game that pushed. I teased Arizona to +3. I do think that there is great value in going from -3 to +3 and will continue to explore that strategy in the coming weeks.
The plays round out with a win on a two-team, $20 parlay on the Raiders and the Vikings, both of which were again, easy winners. I wish that all of my weeks could show these profits with such a little amount of agony, hand-wringing and verbal abuse to my flatscreen. In all, Sunday yields I tidy profit of almost $100. But, coupled with Saturdayâ€™s defeats, I end up the weekend ahead $29.89. Still, a profit again this week and as I head to Week 9, knowing that there is no NCAA betting this week, I hope I can expand the bankroll. Halfway through the season, I am up pretty big for me – $236 and change. Sweet!
Check back with next weekâ€™s Confessions mid-week. Good Luck to all of us this weekend!