NFL Divisional Round Betting Tips, Trends and Angles

  • In Ross Benjamin
  • Thu, Jan 9th, 2020 2:10:32 pm
  • By Ross Benjamin

Professional sports handicapper Ross Benjamin provides us with some intriguing betting data which is applicable to this coming weekend’s NFL Divisional Round matchups.

Tips and trend information for the weekend NFL slate

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Since 1991, the top two division winners from each conference have been rewarded with a week of rest during the NFL Wildcard Round. The four teams to earn a bye this season are the Baltimore Ravens (14-2), Kansas City Chiefs (12-4), San Francisco 49ers (13-3), and Green Bay Packers (13-3).

NFL Divisional round playoff betting tipsHow have these home teams done in this precise situation? Well I'm glad you asked. Home favorites coming off a bye week in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs have gone 74-28 straight up and 48-51-3 ATS.

It must be noted, three of the 4 winners from last weekend's Wild Card Round games were underdogs (Seattle, Minnesota, Tennessee). Which brings us to this. Any NFL Divisional Round home favorite of 4.0 points or more that's facing an opponent coming off a Wildcard Round straight up underdog win, resulted in those teams going 17-7 ATS (70.8%) since 1998. All three games this weekend featuring those teams fits this betting profile.

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Divisional Round Totals

As I alluded to in my article published earlier this week titled “NFL Wildcard Round Betting Recap”, all four games in last weekend’s NFL Playoffs stayed under the total. Furthermore, since 2018, 10 of 12 Wildcard Round games went under (83.3%).

NFL Divisional Round games in recent years have played out much differently with regards to scoring when comparing them to the previous week's action. Since 2017, Divisional Round games have gone over the total on 8 of 12 occasions, and if there was a total of 45.5 to 51.5, then all 5 of those contests went over. Additionally, those 5 contests averaged a combined 55.8 points scored per game. At this current time, and according to the NFL betting odds at 5Dimes, three of this weekend's four Divisional Round games (Titans/Ravens, Texans/Chiefs, Seahawks/Packers) fall into that category.

Team Betting Trends

•The Tennessee Titans have gone over in 9 of their last 12 games.
•The Tennessee Titans are 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous 4 away games.
•The Baltimore Ravens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
•Since 2016, the Baltimore Ravens are 8-1 under at home when there was a total of 45.5 or greater.
•The Minnesota Vikings are 5-1 over in their last 6 away games.
•The Minnesota Vikings are 4-0 over during its last 4 games following an under in their previous contest.
•Since 2014, the San Francisco 49ers are 1-9 ATS as a home favorite of 5.5 or more.
•Since 2017, the San Francisco 49ers are 12-3 over the total as a favorite and when there’s a total of 40.5 or greater.
•The Houston Texans are 6-1 under in their last 7 games when there’s been a total of 44.0 or greater.
•Since 2017, the Houston Texans are 6-0 ATS as an away underdog following a home win. Moreover, Houston won 4 of those 6 games straight up.
•Since 2015, the Kansas City Chiefs are 12-0 under as a home favorite of 7.5 or greater, and that includes 3-0 under this season.
•Since 2017, the Kansas City Chiefs are 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 4.0 or greater following a win by 10 points or more and when playing a team with a win percentage of .500 or better.
•The Seattle Seahawks are 8-1 straight up during away games this season.
•Since 2017, the Seattle Seahawks are 11-1-2 ATS in road games where there was a total of 44.5 to 49.5. Seattle also won 13 of those 14 games straight up.
•Since 2017, the Green Bay Packers are 0-8 ATS after Game 2 of their season and when coming off a road win in its previous contest. Furthermore, 7 of those 8 games stayed under the total.

It’s certainly a great time of year to be a football fan. Hopefully, this article helps aids you in becoming a profitable bettor during each of the NFL Divisional Round playoff games.

Ross Benjamin is a top sports analyst and one of the sports industry's most respected handicappers. Follow him on Twitter: @RossBenjamin1 or visit his website at

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