Betting tips and top picks for the NFL Divisional Playoffs
The road to Super Bowl LV continues with divisional round play this weekend. The No. 1 seeds, Kansas City and Green Bay, get their first taste of playoff action. Both teams are heavily favored.
In the wild card round, four of the six games saw the lower-seeded team win. Will that trend continue this weekend? Here are the NFL Divisional Round best bets.
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Ravens (+2) at Bills
Baltimore heads to Buffalo after defeating Tennessee last week. The Ravens held NFL leading rusher Derrick Henry to just 40 yards and Baltimore rushed for 236 as a team. Reigning NFL MVP Lamar Jackson had 136 of those rushing yards.
That should be of concern to Buffalo which gave up 163 rushing yards to Indianapolis in their 27-24 wild card round win over the Colts. The Bills surrendered a total of 472 yards to Indy, which scored two fourth-quarter touchdowns and came a batted-down Hail Mary from pulling the upset.
The Ravens with Jackson at quarterback have shined in this position. As a road underdog, Jackson and Baltimore are 4-1 ATS. On the other end, Buffalo QB Josh Allen is a respectable 26-17-2 ATS, but he’s just 7-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Check out our Rams vs. Packers betting preview for this weekend.
Bucs at Saints OVER 51.5
It's a big number, but it’s an indoor playoff game. Better yet, it’s an indoor playoff game featuring two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks - Drew Brees and Tom Brady. Both teams' offenses are outstanding and have proven as much lately.
The Over has cashed in five of Tampa Bay's last seven games as the Bucs scored 31, 44, 47, 31, and 26 points in their last five games (all wins). The Saints scored 29, 52, and 33 before a Brees one-yard sneak was taken off the board after replay showed he didn't cross the plane of the goal line. New Orleans settled for 21 points in a 21-9 win over Chicago last week.
The Under has hit in seven of New Orleans last ten games, but in the last five against Tampa Bay at home, the Over has hit in four of them. In indoor playoff games, the Over is 29-13 and it is 71-51-2 in games that Brees has started in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome, site of this weekend’s game.
As an added bonus, in the seven games that Sean Payton has coached against Bruce Arians, the Over is 5-2.
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Rams at Packers (-7)
It’s something you don’t see too often. The Rams have been a touchdown or more underdog just once in the past three years. Injuries to QB Jared Goff (thumb) and former two-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald (rib) find L.A. in an unfamiliar spot.
The Rams defense was able to hold down a Seattle offense last week. The Seahawks gained just 278 total yards. The Rams even scored a defensive touchdown against Seattle. The task gets much harder this week as the Rams take on the NFL’s top-scoring offense in Green Bay.
QB Aaron Rodgers has had an MVP-caliber season leading the NFL in 15 different statistical categories, including touchdown passes (48). It is worth noting that Rodgers-led Packers teams are 119-84-5 ATS. Green Bay is even more dominant at home with Rodgers under center going 61-35-4 ATS.
The extra time off will help the Packers as well. In his career, Rodgers is 10-5-1 ATS with 12 to 15 days to prepare.
OUCH, is all I can say when describing our NFL Wild Card Weekend best bets!