NFL Betting Picks -- Browns vs. Steelers: Yardage may be hard to come by

  • In Charles Jay
  • Thu, Sep 22nd, 2022 8:05:09 am
  • By Charles Jay - Exclusive to OSGA

The Pittsburgh Steelers will play host to the Cleveland Browns in a battle of AFC North division teams at FirstEnergy Stadium.

Preview and Pick for Steelers at Browns

The Cleveland Browns can't believe how they lost last Sunday's game against the New York Jets; we're sure of that. But we are somewhat confident that it involved some "coaching error." When Nick Chubb scored a late touchdown, it increased Cleveland's lead top thirteen points. However, Chubb could have taken a knee after achieving a first down and allowed his team to run out the rest of the clock.

Cleveland Browns TNF free pickAs BetAnySports patrons are well aware, that didn't happen, and the Jets rallied from a 30-17 deficit to win 31-30 and cause unbelievable unrest by the lake. How momentous was it? Well, it was the first time in 2230 games that any team had a lead of at least 13 points in the final two minutes of a game and then lost.

So, just four days later, the Brownies have to pick themselves off the floor and play again. And they need to be on their toes as the Pittsburgh Steelers arrive for an 8:15 PM ET appointment. The game is part of the new Thursday night package from Amazon Prime Video.

As we do our NFL betting picks, these are the Thursday night odds at

Cleveland Browns -4
Pittsburgh Steelers +4

Over 38.5 Points -110
Under 38.5 Points -110

Pittsburgh may be coming in here in a nasty mood. But the question is, what are they going to do about it? The Steelers throw the football about 64% of the time, but the quarterback they're using might be on the hot seat, as fans get restless. Mitch Trubisky is pretty much at the Last Chance Saloon, and that's not something the Chicago Bears figured on when they made a trade to move up in order to take him second in the 2017 draft. He had a good season as a sophomore, but otherwise he has not gotten a lot of respect.

He lost his job eventually in Chicago (to Super Bowl hero Nick Foles) and moved on to Buffalo, where he backed up Josh Allen. The Steelers, seeking a replacement for Ben Roethlisberger, signed him. But they also took Pitt star Kenny Pickett in the first round this year. Head coach Mike Tomlin should not be expected to roll over for fan demand. But it could be a crawl until then. The Steelers have a total of 501 yards in two games.

Pittsburgh Steelers free pickIt is true that both of these teams is missing a key defensive player. TJ Watt is a notable absence for the Steelers, as he is out (pectoral). Jadeveon Clowney is out with an ankle injury for Cleveland. Myles Garrett has a neck injury, but we're not sure that's enough to sit him down.

Pittsburgh's main disruptor is Minkah Fitzpatrick, a safety and a monster. He'll be a pain in the neck (sorry, Myles) for Amani Cooper, as the former Cowboy and Raider is making his way through the secondary.

Interestingly enough, the Steelers gave up more rushing yards per game than any team in the NFL in 2021 (143.8), but they held Cleveland below 100 in both meetings they had, while topping 100 themselves. I guess what we're saying is that there may be fewer things working for Cleveland here than one might think.

If Pittsburgh is going to keep this close (and Tomlin has covered 11 of his last 16 as a dog), it's going to be with a spirited defensive effort. Get ready for a slog. We're going with the UNDER here.

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