NFL Betting -- Why shouldn't Aaron Rodgers play? He owns the Bears

  • In Charles Jay
  • Sun, Dec 4th, 2022 3:21:04 pm
  • By Charles Jay - Exclusive to OSGA

Aaron Rodgers has an injured thumb and injured ribs, but he'll be behind center as the Green Bay Packers visit the Chicago Bears.

Right now, it’s going to be almost impossible for the Green Bay Packers to make it to the postseason. Part of it is that Aaron Rodgers, who has won four MVP awards, it’s not only working with a receiving corps that not only is without Davante Adams, but also riddled by injury throughout the campaign.

We don’t necessarily want to make a lot of excuses for him, because he has, and various times in his career, turned water into wine. But BetOnline customers also need to know that Rodgers is dealing with some injuries of his own at the moment.

His team has a record of 4–8, both straight up and against the points, but despite having injured ribs and a fracture in his thumb, there is no thought of shutting Rodgers down at this point. And he certainly wants another shot at the Chicago Bears, a team he has destroyed through the years.

The Bears, who sit at 3–9 (4-7-1 ATS) and are also a non-contender in the NFC North, have their own quarterback injury problems to worry about. Justin Fields suffered a shoulder injury against Atlanta, and sat out last week's 31–10 lost to the New York Jets. But Fields has been given the go ahead to make the start against Green Bay, as the Bears try to stop a seven game losing streak to their oldest rival.

In the NFL betting odds that have been posted on this game by the folks at BetOnline, the Packers are laying points:

Green Bay Packers -4.5 (-107)
Chicago Bears +4.5 (-113)

Over 45 Points -108
Under 45 Points -112

Green Bay has not only won but also covered the last seven meetings between these two, and these last five meetings have been decided by double digit margins. The first time they came together this season, the Packers were trying to bounce back from an awful season opener against Minnesota, and they did, with a 27–10 victory. Chicago had 180 rushing yards in a game, and that was a sign of things to come. Currently the Bears lead the NFL in rushing, and as a team they are averaging 5.4 yards per attempt.

A lot of that can be attributed to Fields, who has gained 834 yards from the quarterback position. Of course, there have to be some questions as to how many risks Head Coach Matt Eberflus is going to take with him, since he is a still developing quarterback.

Eberflus has indicated that Fields looked very much "like himself" during practice, but you have to understand that there’s another side to this. Not only has he been intercepted eight times, field has also suffered 40 sacks on this season. Chicago simply has to protect him better. Does that involve him running less often?

Speaking of protection, left tackle David Bakhtiari is not going to be available for Green Bay. Perhaps this will force the Packers to go more towards the ground game, and obviously they’ve been pretty good in that regard, averaging 4.8 yards per carry behind Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon.

Put the Pack will be vulnerable to the run as well. Last week they gave up an astounding 363 rushing yards to the Philadelphia Eagles, and so perhaps it’s just a matter of how much Fields, who counts for a lot of Chicago’s ground attack, he’s going to pull the ball down and run with it.

Over the last two seasons, Rodgers has completed 76% of his passes for 9.5 yards per attempt and 14 touchdowns without an interception against the Bears. He’s been very arrogant about the fact that he "owns" them. And we are not sure we want to buck the current trend. So we will have to lay the points with the Packers, who are longing for a little satisfaction from what has been a disappointing season.

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