When it comes down to it, what are the Seattle Seahawks going to have to do to give themselves the best chance at victory on Monday Night Football? Well, that is going to have a very real effect on what we do from the standpoint of props on this game, whicch kicks off ESPN's Monday coverage (will also be televised on ABC).
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And so, almost regardless of which players we are talking about, we can find some way to bet on them or against them.
To get started, here is the way they have posted the game line itself:
Denver Broncos -6 (-115)
Seattle Seahawks +6 (-105)
Over 44 Points (-110)
Under 44 Points (-110)
So if you are aaking what is going to give the Seahawks the best chance at victory, coach Pete Carroll's answer might be to run the ball, even more than usual. And he is a guy who has always loved to run the football, even when he had Russell Wilson at quarterback. in 2018, in fact, the 'Hawks were the onluy team in the NFL who ran the ball more than 50% of the time.
And the guy he'll primarily use here is.......
Rashaad Penny - Rushing Yards
Over 70.5 Yards -114
Under 70.5 Yards -114
He has been hampered a lot with injuries, and maybe for that reason he was considered to be a first-round draft "bust." But truth be told, Penny has always gotten the most out of his rushing attempts. In his first season he averaged 4.9 yards per carry. Then, as a second-year man, it was 5.7. Last year, he had a per-carry average that was better than any running back in the NFL, at 6.3. That was sensational. And that is music to Carroll's ears.
What was just as outstanding about Penny last season was that he gained an average of 3.1 yards per carry AFTER contact. So if there is ground to cover, he'll cover it.
Originally, this was going to be a 1-2 punch with Penny and Kenneth Walker III, the rookie out of Michigan State who had 1636 yards and 18 rushing TD's for the Spartans last year. But Walker underwent hernia surgery and is still recovering from that, so his participation is highly unlikely.
Therefore, in the case of Penny, we're going OVER this rushing total.
Russell Wilson - Passing Yards
Over 255.5 Yards -114
Under 255.5 Yards -114
The departure of Wilson from Seattle was not necessarily amicable. And there was this difference in philosophy between him and Carroll as to how much the team should be running the ball. Let's imagine that Nathaniel Hackett, Denver's first-year head coach, will be more accommodating. Otherwise, why would they have made the deal?
The Seahawks had the institutional opinion that Wilson was "slipping," so what better way to get a little satisfaction than to go out there and throw for big numbers? The gripe with Wilson was that he was a "stat" guy who really craved being an MVP candidate. We'll make that work for us here. OVER
Geno Smith - Passing Yards
Over 207.5 Yards -113
Under 207.5 Yards -115
Well, if the Seahawks are going to go "run-heavy," it would logically dictate that they'll be "pass-lite." Does that make sense?" When he made his three starts for the Seahawks last season, Smith led the team to 757 yards. His passing totals in those games were 209. 167, 195 yards. So you would have to believe that he would have one of the better games of his life if he is going to top this number. And he's got two rookies starting at offensive tackle.
Then, of course, there is the possibility that the game could get out of hand, in which case it's more likely that Carroll will turn to Drew Lock than the Broncos would be to take Wilson out of the game. Yeah, we're on the UNDER in this one.
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