MLB Monday Free Pick - Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds
The Milwaukee Brewers open up an extended four-game series against the NL central rival Cincinnati Reds this Monday night in a 7:10 p.m. start at the Great American Ball Park. Elite-rated VietBet has opened the Brewers at -109 road favorites with the total line set at 10 runs. The game will be available nationally on ESPN+.
Current MLB Betting Odds:
Milwaukee Brewers -109
Cincinnati Reds 10
The Brewers took two of three against Pittsburgh at home this weekend with Sunday’s 2-1 victory as -159 favorites on VietBet’s closing line. The total stayed well UNDER the 10.5-run closing line and it has stayed UNDER in their last five games. Milwaukee has scored a grand total of 13 runs in those last five outings. It is currently tied with the Chicago Cubs for the lead in the NL Central at 45-39. It is an even 5-5 over its last 10 games.
Behind some quiet bats for the past few games, the Brewers are currently ranked eighth in the NL in scoring with an average of 4.8 runs a game. Their pitching staff slips to ninth in the NL with a team 4.55 ERA. Adrian Houser should get the start on Monday night for Milwaukee. The right hander has a 2.94 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP heading into his fourth start of the season. He has primarily been used as a reliever out of the bullpen this season.
Cincinnati was able to take two of three from the Cubs at home over the weekend. It hammered out an 8-6 victory on Sunday closing as a slight +106 underdog with VietBet. The total went OVER the 10.5-run line in that game after staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in its previous four games. The Reds are 38-43 overall with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. They are 5.5 games off the pace in the division race.
This lineup has struggled to consistently score runs all season long with an average of 4.3 a game. Cincinnati has been able to remain competitive behind a pitching staff that is second in the NL with an ERA of 3.69. Look for Tyler Mahle to get the start in Game 1. The right hander has an ERA of 4.35 with a 1.22 WHIP after allowing four earned runs on six hits in five innings against the Los Angeles Angles on June 25.
My lean would be towards Milwaukee as a slight road favorite, but I am betting the UNDER on the inflated 10-run total line.
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