Time to give thanks to the NFL for better matchups and games on Thanksgiving to kickoff Week 13. Last year it was the 2-win Giants vs. the 3-win Cowboys with Tommy Devito and Cooper Rush starting quarterbacks. Now football fans get quality quarterbacks and top teams providing all the fixings and a full meal deal. 

The three Thanksgiving Day games are followed by NFC first-place teams matchup on Friday and kicks off the biggest watch and wager week with college football rivalry games adding to one of the biggest betting handles of the season at top online sportsbooks. 

I provided some Thanksgiving NFL previews for BetOnline and note the line adjustments since last week with QB Joe Burrow likely to return for the Bengals, and the Cowboys getting more interest against the Chiefs. 

- Green Bay at Detroit (-3), 48 
- Kansas City (-3.5) at Dallas, 52.5
- Cincinnati at Baltimore (-7), 51.5
- Chicago at Philadelphia (-7), 44  Friday

NFL Thanksgiving Picks, Props, Tips And Trends

- Cowboys
- Ravens (Opinion) 

Bucking a trend since 2004 that BetLabs reports road favorites have gone 25-1 straight-up, 20-6 ATS on Thanksgiving. All favorites on Thanksgiving are 51-9 straight-up and 40-20 ATS.

Since 1990, favorites of at least 7 points on Thanksgiving have gone 30-5 straight-up and 25-10 ATS. 

Packers (7-3-1) vs Lions (7-4) - The under is 5-0-1 in Green Bay's home games this season, and those contests average of 34.2 points per game. The over is 4-1 in Green Bay's road games, and those contests average 52.0 points per game. The last two meetings in Detroit between the Packers and Lions have averaged 58 points per game with four of the last five 50+ points scored. The Lions are 18-8-1 ATS vs. NFC North rivals with Jared Goff at quarterback.  

Chiefs (6-5) at Cowboys (5-5-1) - The over is 11-4 in the Cowboys' last 15 Thanksgiving games. Doesn't matter for this matchup, but the Cowboys offense is among the best in the league averaging 29.1 points and a league-high 387 yards per game at 6.0 yards per play with the Chiefs top-5 at 376 ypg and 5.7 yppl. Dak Prescott threw for 174 yards on play-action passes last week, and the Chiefs are allowing a league-high 53% more yards per attempt against play action compared to standard dropbacks. The Dallas defense is improved with trades and players returning from injury, and the Dallas D has allowed just 305 yards per game over their last three contests at 5.1 yards per play (377/5.9 season). The Cowboys EPA per play allowed of -0.094 in the two weeks since acquiring Q. Williams  and L. Wilson ranks top-10 in the league. The Chiefs had a big comeback win in overtime last week over the Colts, and now travel on a short week for Thanksgiving. Dr. Bob Sports reports that NFL teams playing on Thursday after an OT game are just 6-23 ATS since 2000 if opponent is not off an OT game. 

Player Prop - QB Dak Prescott over 9.5 to 10.5 rushing yards (8.5 is -135).

The Chiefs defense has allowed the third-most rushing attempts for the sixth-most yards against by opposing quarterbacks this season, and last week less mobile Colts QB Daniel Jones rushed 3 times for 16 yards against the Chiefs defense. Bills QB Josh Allen recently rushed 6 times for 19 yards and 2 TD’s at home against the Chiefs in a game Bills RB Cook carried a heavy load.   

Bet on Thanksgiving Football at one of these Elite-rated sportsbooks!

Bengals (3-8) vs Ravens (6-5) - Ravens riding a 5-game winning streak holding all five opponents under 20 points (4 of them losing teams). Baltimore's last six games have seen an average of just 36.3 points per game. The Ravens have won the last four meetings over the Bengals, and all four games went over the total. The Bengals are near historically bad on defense this season ranking last in EPA per play allowed, last in success rate, last in EPA per drop-back and No. 30 in rushing success rate allowed.

Player Prop - Ravens RB Derrick Henry over 17.5 rushing attempts. 

The Bengals’ defense is surrendering 0.07 EPA/rush (30th),  and ranks last in the league allowing 32.7 points and 416 yards per game at 6.3 yards per play. It’s worse with top defensive end Trey Hendrickson (hip/pelvis) out for his fifth consecutive game over Thanksgiving, and CB Cam Taylor-Britt is now sidelined for the season with a foot injury, and the Bengals defense surrenders a yard more per play (7.8) with Taylor-Britt off the field.

Check back for our weekly picks, props and parlays, which went 3-0 (plus push) in Week 12 picks and opinions, and 6-1 the last two weeks. Both parlays won and player props are 17-9 since Week 3 following a pair of player prop losers to start the season. 

Since 2010, BetOnline reports that Thanksgiving Day favorites have gone 36-8 straight up (SU) and 25-19 against the spread (ATS), including 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS last year on the home teams as favorites.

NFL Week 13 Odds

Betting lines and NFL odds from BetOnline and top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Point spread on favorites and division games in bold. 

- Houston at Indianapolis (-4), 44.5 
- Arizona at Tampa Bay (-2.5), 43
- Jacksonville (-6.5) at Tennessee, 41.5
- LA Rams (-10.5) at Carolina, 44.5
- New Orleans at Miami (-6), 41.5
- Atlanta (-2.5) at NY Jets, 39.5
- San Francisco (-5) at Cleveland, 36.5
- Minnesota at Seattle (-11.5), 41
- Buffalo (-3.5) at Pittsburgh, 45.5
- Las Vegas at LA Chargers (-9.5), 40.5
- Denver (-5.5 / 6) at Washington, 43.5 SNF
- NY Giants at New England (-7.5), 45.5 

Check out the Week 13 injury reports, and monitor the NFL weather. Cleveland projects to have 15+ mph wind, 40% chance rain and snow and near freezing temperatures. Potential rain at a number of other NFL cities. 

Week 13 Game Totals

A 3-0 sweep on our Week 12 NFL totals and 3-0 teasers leads us into more tips, totals, teasers and trends this week. NFL sides are 6-1 the last two weeks, and more to follow in our Week 13 picks, props and parlays with NFL Thanksgiving picks above.  

Totals Tips

Opinions

- Texans/Colts Under 
- Jaguars/Titans Over (game day 42/42.5) 
- Vikings/Seahawks Under (game day 41.5)

Teasers 

- Packers, Eagles 

Trends 

Jaguars-Titans - Titans have gone 0-10 straight-up, 3-7 ATS at home in Nashville since their last home win in Week 9 last season. The Jaguars have scored 30.3 points per game over their last four contests (3-1) with three on the road including a pair of overtime wins. The Titans (1-10) and their league-low scoring (15 ppg) and clueless rookie quarterback have still gone over the game total in four of their last five games with four opposing quality, competent quarterbacks leading their teams to at least 27 points against Tennessee. 

More updates and any additional tips, totals and trends ahead of Sunday's games.

You can bet on it. 

FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper with top of the leaderboard success in NFL pointspread prognosis. Fairway is recognized as one of the sports industry's insightful analysts, and he chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events. Follow FairwayJay here at OSGA.com and on X @FairwayJay for more sports betting insights.