AFC Playoff Props -- Ravens-Bills: How Much Ground Will Lamar Jackson Cover?

  • In Charles Jay
  • Sat, Jan 16th, 2021 6:31:13 pm
  • By Charles Jay - Exclusive to OSGA

How many rushing yards will Lamar Jackson have on Saturday night? That's an interesting focus of a prop for AFC playoff action.

Any team that plays against the Baltimore Ravens has to be very mindful of keeping pace with a quarterback who has re-written the record books. Lamar Jackson is, until someone else is named, the NFL's reigning MVP, and he has done something no one else in the league's 100-year history has done before - he has rushed for at least 1000 yards for two years in a row from his quarterback position.

It is this ability to move with his feet that makes him potentially a major factor in the AFC Divisional Round of the playoffs, as his Ravens face off against the Buffalo Bills, in a game that begins at 8:15 PM ET at Bills Stadium in Orchard Park, NY.

At BetAnySports, you have so many props to choose from to help you enjoy the game. And they have put up numbers in how many rushing yards Jackson will compile in this game:

Lamar Jackson - Rushing Yards

Over 78.5 Yards -125
Under 78.5 Yards -105

We don't know if you were following this or not, but before Baltimore came down the stretch with a little charge, Jackson had been making remarks, most notably on Rich Eisen's podcast, that the Ravens had been getting, in his words, "predictable" on offense. This was probably true, although the culture of this offense is to run first and then throw when that presents an opening. Jackson, in fact, threw the ball on first down only 36% of the time.

It can easily be predicted that Jackson is going to run with the ball. What CAN'T be easily predicted is when he is going to run it, or under what circumstances. So he has apparently taken a little more control over the situation.

If you look at what he's done over these last six games, he has carried the ball himself 72 times for 566 yards. That's apretty good 7.9-yard average. And it is important to mention that all six games were victories.

Buffalo has generally not been real stout defending the run, as they've allowed 4.7 yards per attempt. But there are advanced metrics that tell an even more detailed story. They come from Football Outsiders, a website that does a great job compiling this stuff.

The Bills's defense,as it relates to the opposition's running plays, is dead last defending in "Second Level Yards," which represents what happens once a ball-carrier gets at least five yards beyond the line of scrimmage. And in the category of "Open Field Yards," which is what happens when someone gets beyond ten yards, they are 18th out of 32 teams.

These are the kinds of numbers that might make the difference in the winner of the game itself. And it also demonstrates the possibility of Jackson making some big plays.

Last week against Tennessee, for instance, he had 136 yards, highlighted by a 48-yard touchdown run. He can do those kinds of things. And once he gets into the secondary, there's no telling what he can do.

That's why we are going OVER on this prop, at BetAnySports, which is your headquarters for NFL playoff action, all the way to the Super Bowl...... Remember that you can really get value with reduced juice, and place wagers while the game is in progress with Sports Betting Prime....... Make your deposits with a debit card, credit card, person-to-person transfers or the virtual currency of Bitcoin, which NEVER incurs a transaction fee!

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