VPID Line Moves and Free Picks for April 17th



We are right back at it with line moves in NBA and NHL Playoffs along with baseball action. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (142-111-4 run) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here tomorrow.

NBA – (709) NEW ORLEANS at (710) PORTLAND 10:35 ET TNT

One might have thought with New Orleans engineering Game One 97-95 upset of Portland, the Pelicans better defense was the difference. With this thinking in mind, the total rising from 212.5 to 214 would seem to benefit the Trail Blazers. However, that is not necessarily the case since the Blazers are the better defensive team and New Orleans the higher scoring club. Though Portland missed a lot of open shots Saturday, they are 14-4 UNDER at home after a loss by six points or less and the Pelicans are 12-3 UNDER in road games when playing with two days' rest.

Betting Trend - 68% backing Under
Doug's VPID Take - Play Under

MLB – (953) WASHINGTON at (954) N.Y. METS 7:10 ET MASN, SNY

Washington handed the Mets just their third setback of the season (all at home by the way) and baseball bettors are convinced it could happen again. The Nationals were released as +110 underdogs and are now sitting as -120 favorites. The analytics crowd has been crying in their wine glasses, as they started complaining Gio Gonzalez fastball had lost too much velocity in 2016 and said his demise was imminent. Gonzalez won 15 games last year and had a 2.96 ERA (WAR of 6.6 for those sipping chardonnay) and this year after three starts he's at 2.20. With the lefty 14-5 against the Metropolitans and his team having the same record at Citi Field over the past three years, let's take the Nats.

Betting Trend - 57% backing New York
Doug's VPID Take - Washington wins

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