A late Minnesota rally against Denver in last week's free NFL pick for VietBet spoiled my perfect 3-0 start to the new season, but I have good feeling that my pick for this Sunday's Buffalo at Tennessee game with get me right back to my winning ways.

The Buffalo Bills come into this game as 2.5-point road favorites and VietBet has set the NFL betting odds for the total at 42.5. Buffalo is off to a 2-2 start both straight-up and against the spread, while the Titans are coming off an early bye week with a record of 1-2 SU (2-1 ATS).

Buffalo closed as a 6.5-point home favorite in last Sunday's 24-10 loss to the New York Giants with the total staying UNDER the 46.5-point line. This has to be considered a major disappointment after the Bills blasted Miami 41-14 the week before as one-point underdogs on the road. Tyrod Taylor completed 28-of-42 attempts for 274 yards and a score, but the offense could only manage 55 yards rushing against the Giants with LeSean McCoy out of the lineup with a hamstring injury.

The Tennessee Titans went into its bye week with back-to-back losses to Cleveland on the road and Indianapolis at home after stunning Tampa Bay 42-14 in its season opener as a three-point road underdog. The total has gone OVER in all three games behind an offense that is averaging 29.7 points a game and a defense that has allowed an average of 25.7 points.

In the football betting odds posted on this game by Vietbet, this one looks tight:

Buffalo Bills -1 (-120)
Tennessee Titans +1 (+100)

Over 41.5 points -110
Under 41.5 points -110

Rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota continues to go through the growing pains of playing in the NFL and while he has shown some flashes of brilliance with 833 passing yards and eight touchdown throws, he has been picked-off twice and sacked 12 times in his first three games. The Titans have also done a fairly good job running the ball behind Bishop Sankey and Dexter McCluster for an average of 126 rushing yards a game.

Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games, while Tennessee is in the midst of a SU five-game losing streak at LP Field. I really like the Bills' chances to bounce-back from a bad outing with a solid win this week that covers VietBet's 1-point betting line.

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