NFL Playoffs Free Pick - Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots

The Los Angeles Chargers and the New England Patriots get this Sunday’s NFL playoff action underway in a slated 1:05 p.m. kickoff on CBS from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. The Patriots have been opened as 4.5-point home favorites by Elite-rated VietBet and the total has been set at 47.5 points.

Current Odds:
Los Angeles Chargers 47.5
New England Patriots -4.5

The Chargers faced Baltimore on the road in Sunday’s Wild Card Round and they came away with a 23-17 victory as three-point underdogs. They have now won six of their last seven games SU while covering against the spread in five of those games. The total stayed UNDER 43 points in that win and it has stayed UNDER VietBet’s closing line in four of their last five games. Los Angeles is 10-7 ATS this season with a 5-1 record ATS in six previous games closing as an underdog.

Philip Rivers only threw for 160 yards and zero touchdowns in Sunday’s win, but he did complete 22 of his 32 passing attempts. The Chargers only added another 89 yards running the ball with Melvin Gordon grinding out 40 yards rushing on 17 carries. The big story in Sunday’s win was a defense that held Baltimore to 139 yards passing and 90 yards running the ball.

New England won its final two games at home against Buffalo and the New York Jets to win the AFC East for the 10th season in a row. It was 11-5 SU overall and 9-7 ATS. The Patriots failed to cover in three of their last four games and the total stayed UNDER VietBet’s closing line in their last three games. They were 6-2 ATS on their home field this season and the total stayed UNDER in 11 of their 16 games overall.

Tom Brady threw for 4,355 yards and 29 touchdowns in the regular season. His top target was wide receiver Julian Edelman with 74 receptions for 850 yards and six scores. The Patriots averaged 266.1 passing yards a game with another 127.3 yards running the ball. It all added up to 27.3 points per game. New England’s defense held opposing teams to 20.3 points per game.

The Patriots thrive in the postseason with far more SU wins than losses, but they still have a way of keeping games closer than expected. I will take the Chargers and the 4.5 points in the current betting line.

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