Monday 4/15 MLB Betting Odds and Underdog Picks



Decorated professional sports handicapper Ross Benjamin has identified 3 MLB money line underdogs on Monday’s slate that he deems to be solid betting values. Go inside to read this fact filled educational article which depicts Ross’ MLB handicapping style.

Cubs (Darvish) @ Marlins (Richards) 7:10 PM ET
Game# 903-904

The current MLB odds at Heritage is indicating the Miami is a money line underdog of +126 in this National League game.

Miami Marlins MLB pickThe Cubs starting pitcher Yu Darvish has made 1 start each in 2017 and 2018 against Miami. Darvish was horrible in those 2 appearances as evidenced by him posting a massive 16.88 ERA. The veteran right-hander doesn’t figure to get much help from a Cubs bullpen staff that presently has a collective 6.53 ERA. Furthermore, during 9 away games this season, Cubs relievers have a combined 9.18 ERA and 2.04 WHIP.

The Marlins Trevor Richards is 0-3 during his team starts in 2019. However, Richards was terrific in those outings while compiling 2.00 ERA. Miami’s bullpen has been far from lights out thus far, but they’ve certainly outperformed the Cubs relief corps.
Pick: Marlins +126


Reds (Castillo) @ Dodgers (Kershaw) 10:10 PM ET
Game# 907-908

At this present time, BetOnline is showing the Reds as a money line underdog of +142.

The Dodgers got off to a very good 8-2 start. However, they’ve since gone 1-6. Clayton Kershaw will be making his 2019 debut tonight. The long time Dodgers ace started the season on the disabled list. Fading a starting pitcher in his first start after returning from injury is a good idea more times than not.

After a 1-8 start to the season, Cincinnati has rebounded to win 4 of its last 5. The Reds bats have come alive throughout their previous 7 games. During that time, Cincinnati has a terrific team slugging percentage of .532 while smashing 19 home runs.

The Reds starting pitcher Luis Castillo has been outstanding in 3 starts. Castillo has collected a microscopic 0.92 ERA and 0.66 WHIP in those outings. Castillo made 2 starts against the Dodgers last season and had a stellar 2.19 ERA.
Pick: Reds +142

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Indians (Bauer) @ Mariners (Kikuchi) 10:10 PM ET
Game# 919-920
According to the latest MLB odds at Bookmaker, Seattle is a money line home underdog of +100 in this American League game.

There’s an intriguing money line betting parameter which is applicable to tonight’s game. Seattle is 9-2 this season when there’s a money line of +125 to -125. Conversely, Cleveland has gone 12-24 in the past 2 seasons when their money line is +125 to -125.

Seattle Cleveland free pickBoth teams were swept in their previous 3-game series. Nonetheless, Seattle’s misfortune came at the hands of a red-hot Houston Astros club that’s now riding a 9-game winning streak. On the other hand, Cleveland’s losses were against a Kansas City Royals team who entered that series having lost 10 straight games.

Cleveland has averaged only 3.5 runs scored per game this season while garnering an unproductive .316 slugging percentage. They’re also allowing just 3.7 runs per game in 2019. The Indians are coming off Sunday’s 9-8 loss at Kansas City. This sets up a very profitable MLB betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any home team (Mariners) with a money line of -135 to +115, and they’re facing an American League opponent (Indians) that’s allowing 3.9 or fewer runs per game, and they (Indians) allowed 9 runs or more in their previous game, resulted in those teams going 48-18 (72.7%) since 1997. This betting algorithm is enough for me to make the home team one of my MLB underdog picks on Monday.
Pick: Mariners +100

Ross Benjamin Free Pick

Ross Benjamin is a top sports analyst and one of the sports industry's most respected handicappers. Follow him on Twitter: @RossBenjamin1 or visit his website at RBWins.com