MLB Betting -- D-Backs' Corbin Seeks Payback vs. Padres

  • In Charles Jay
  • Mon, Sep 18th, 2017 6:33:06 pm
  • By Charles Jay - Exclusive to OSGA


Patrick Corbin was been a hot pitcher for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he will take the mound as they play the San Diego Padres on Monday night.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been nothing short of sensational this season. They were not expected to make a lot of noise in the National League West, yet here they are, in the wild card driver's seat and 24 games over the .500 mark. On Monday night they will start a three-game series against the San Diego Padres, with the first game slated to get underway at 10:10 PM ET at Petco Park. BetAnySports customers will have the chance to take advantage of reduced juice, which afford them better MLB betting odds, and then they can access Live Betting Ultra, which enables real-time wagering after the opening pitch.

The D-Backs have a five-game lead over the Colorado Rockies, who are the #2 wild card team in the NL, and they are 7.5 games ahead of the Milwaukee Brewers, so they are virtually assured of being a playoff participant with just a dozen games left. They were also able to climb to within 9.5 games of the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers. And they did that as the Dodgers went ice cold and Arizona got red hot, winning thirteen games in a row at one point.

Making the start for the D-Backs will be Patrick Corbin (14-12, 4.06 ERA), who has been on fire of late - with one notable exception that we will explain. He's a southpaw, and will be opposed by Luis Perdomo (7-10, 4.61 ERA), a right-hander who has been kind of steady, if not spectacular, for the Padres in recent weeks.

In the MLB betting odds that have been posted on this game at BetAnySports, the D-Backs are road favorites:

Arizona Diamondbacks (Corbin) -156
San Diego Padres (Perdomo) +146

Under 8.5 Runs -120
Over 8.5 Runs +100

To answer your question - no, Corbin's numbers are not spectacular, but his ERA was 5.43 on June 2, so there has been a lot of progress. If you take his last seven starts, all but one of them has produced a Game Score of 59 or higher, with four of them in the 70s. The only clunker came against these Padres on September 8, as he was banged around for eight runs with 15 base runners before mercifully getting yanked with one out in the fifth inning. Interestingly, he did not give up a home run, and over his last 52-2/3 innings he has yielded only three gopher balls.

Perdomo is certainly dependable and predictable; he has gone exactly six innings in each of his last eight starts. He has allowed three earned runs or less in each of his last five outings. In his last one, however, he gave up three homers to the Diamondbacks. In sharp contrast to Corbin, he hasn't had a Game Score over 53 in his last thirteen starts.

Corbin gets an unusual amount of support from his Arizona teammates, who have scored 5.6 runs per start for him. Perdomo has been abandoned by comparison (just 3.8 runs per start), and the Padres have been positively putrid at the bat lately, scoring just eight runs in their last six games and slugging at a .299 rate during that period. We know Arizona does not have an outstanding road record (39-36), but they have captured eight of their last nine as the visitor. Under the circumstances, we'll lay this price.

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