Memphis Grizzlies @ Orlando Magic
Game# 501-502
Presently, the NBA odds at Bookmaker is displaying a total of 207.0 on this game between the Grizzlies and Magic.
Orlando has gone under the total in each of their previous 5 games. The Magic’s stout defensive play was a major contributor to those low scoring affairs. Throughout that stretch, Orlando allowed just 96.6 points per game while holding their opponents to 41.5% shooting and a paltry 26.6% three-point conversion rate.
Orlando is 3-0 SU&ATS during their last 3 games and they were a favorite in each of those contests. Memphis was a 126-125 winner over Houston in their previous game. A combination of those 4 results coupled with the current total leads us to an extremely profitable NBA betting algorithm.
Any NBA home team (Orlando) with a total of 200.0 to 209.5 that’s coming off covers as a favorite in their last 2 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Memphis) coming off a home win, resulted in those games going 36-13 (73.5%) under during the past 5 seasons.
Pick: Under 207.0
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Toronto Raptors
Game# 507-508
According to the betting odds at BetOnline, there’s a posted total of 225.5 on this contest.
These teams played each other just 2 days ago and Toronto prevailed by a score of 123-114. That contest went over the total of 227.0. It marked the 6th straight time in this head to head series that games have gone over the total. Furthermore, Toronto has gone over in their last 6 outings when there’s been a total of 230.0 or less.
Any NBA team (Thunder) with a total of 220.0 to 229.5 that had a combined 225 points or more scored in their previous game, and is facing an opponent (Raptors) that saw a collective 235 points or greater being scored during its previous outing, resulted in those games going 110-54 (67.1%) since the 2014-2015 regular season began. The average total in those 164 contests was 225.6.
Pick: Over 225.5
San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets
Game# 509-510
There’s a total of 220.0 on this Southwest Division games across the major offshore sportsbook landscape.
Houston has gone under in 9 straight games when there’s been a total of 218.5 or greater. There was an average total of 226.3 on those games and just 210.5 points were scored per outing.
San Antonio has gone under in 9 of their last 10 games when there’s been a total of 211.0 or more. The average total in those contests was 225.1 and there were only a collective 209.5 points scored per game.
Relative to tonight’s total, this one directly points toward a lower scoring game. One of my Friday 3/22 NBA totals picks will concur with that prognostication.
Pick: Under 220.0
Ross Benjamin is a top sports analyst and one of the sports industry's most respected handicappers. Follow him on Twitter: @RossBenjamin1 or visit his website at RBWins.com