In what was lowest amount of line moves in the NFL as far back as I can remember, this has led to a very short card  Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (379-300-10 in 2018) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here next week.

NFL – (455) CLEVELAND at (456) TAMPA BAY  1:00 ET  FOX  *New*

We know Baker Mayfield has the skill to throw the pigskin around and he should be thrilled to go against the NFL's worst pass defense in Tampa Bay. With that in mind, the total has climbed two points to 51.5. I'll go along with it and you need to know when the total is 49.5 or higher and the home team is allowing 360 or more YPG, after allowing 375 or more total yards in three consecutive games, the OVER is 27-6 the last 10 years.

Betting Trend - 77% backing Over

Doug's VPID Take - Play Over

NFL – (461) BUFFALO at (462) INDIANAPOLIS  1:00 ET  CBS

For a second time this season, when it was announced that Josh Allen would not start for Buffalo, the Bills actually went down as underdogs which in some ways tells you something about Allen. That means Nathan Peterman will get the start, whoops, breaking news, Derek Anderson, who was signed last Wednesday, will start for Buffalo. The Bills have tumbled from +9 to +7.5 and coach Sean McDermott expressed confidence in Anderson, as they were together at Carolina. More on this over the weekend, once I stop laughing. Update - The Colts are down to -7, but Anderson has hardly been there and while he knows the offense, will this really lead to touchdowns? Take Indy now that they are off the hook.

Betting Trend - Was 80% backing Indianapolis, now 82%

Doug's VPID Take - Lean Indianapolis

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