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Free Picks and Predictions on Line Moves for Oct. 11-12




College and pro football lines moves and picks from pro handicapper Doug Upstone.

This week there are the most early NFL line moves there have been all season and have nearly all of them. Plus, we have those in college football for Thursday and Friday. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (374-291-9 long term, 183-140-7 of late) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here Friday.

NFL – (103) PHILADELPHIA at (104) N.Y. GIANTS  8:20 ET  FOX

Philadelphia opened at -3, went to -2.5 on Wednesday and they are now down to -1.5 or -1 depending on the sportsbooks. The Eagles biggest problem is offense, not defense and they can generate a lot of pressure on Eli Manning. At this price, with my money, Philly is too good to pass up.

Betting Trend - 54% backing Philadelphia

Doug's VPID Take - Lean Philadelphia

CFB – (105) TEXAS TECH at (106) TCU   7:30 ET  ESPN

The total has fallen from 61 to 58.5 mostly because of the quarterback situations. The Texas Tech starter Alan Bowman is out, but his backup Jett Duffey played well last week when forced in. TCU starter Shawn Robinson has been upgraded to 'probable', but no word on if he starts or if he really plays. Both teams are turning the ball over at a ridiculous pace and that can help or hurt the total. I'll forecast enough points so the total climbs past 60 for an OVER play.

Betting Trend - 82% backing Over

Doug's VPID Take - Lean Over

CFB – (111) ARIZONA at (112) UTAH   10:00 ET  ESPN

In five the last six confrontations between these Pac-12 South rivals, the total have been 60 or higher. This year it opened at 53 and has crumbled to 50.5. The average total score in that span has been 58.1 total points. I know Khalil Tate has a bum ankle, but why isn't Kevin Sumlin get him into open space where he can just run straight ahead like last year? Let's back history and the fact Arizona is 22-9 OVER after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better and Utah is 18-6 OVER at home off a conference win by 10 points or more.

Betting Trend - 70% backing Over

Doug's VPID Take - Play Over

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