This week there are the
NFL – (103) PHILADELPHIA at (104) N.Y. GIANTS 8:20 ET FOX
Philadelphia opened at -3, went to -2.5 on Wednesday and they are now down to -1.5 or -1 depending on the sportsbooks. The Eagles biggest problem is offense, not defense and they can generate a lot of pressure on Eli Manning. At this price, with my money, Philly is too good to pass up.
Betting Trend - 54% backing Philadelphia
Doug's VPID Take - Lean Philadelphia
CFB – (105) TEXAS TECH at (106) TCU 7:30 ET ESPN
The total has fallen from 61 to 58.5 mostly because of the quarterback situations. The Texas Tech starter Alan Bowman is out, but his backup Jett Duffey played well last week when forced in. TCU starter Shawn Robinson has been upgraded to 'probable', but no word on if he starts or if he really plays. Both teams are turning the ball over at a ridiculous pace and that can help or hurt the total. I'll forecast enough points so the total climbs past 60 for an OVER play.
Betting Trend - 82% backing Over
Doug's VPID Take - Lean Over
CFB – (111) ARIZONA at (112) UTAH 10:00 ET ESPN
In five the last six confrontations between these Pac-12 South rivals, the total have been 60 or higher. This year it opened at 53 and has crumbled to 50.5. The average total score in that span has been 58.1 total points. I know Khalil Tate has a bum ankle, but why isn't Kevin Sumlin get him into open space where he can just run straight ahead like last year? Let's back history and the fact Arizona is 22-9 OVER after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better and Utah is 18-6 OVER at home off a conference win by 10 points or more.
Betting Trend - 70% backing Over
Doug's VPID Take - Play Over
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