Free Picks and Predictions on Line Moves for Nov. 17



Free Picks and Predictions on Line Moves for Nov. 17

After another winning day of free picks, we focus our attention to a college football Saturday, with four new line moves plus updates on the ones from Wednesday. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (421-339-11 in 2018) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here tomorrow.

CFB – (347) MID. TENNESSEE at (348) KENTUCKY  2:00 ET  SECN-A

Kentucky is floundering at the end of the season again. The Wildcats have finished SEC play and faces a hot Middle Tennessee crew that has won six of seven (5-2 ATS). Sportsbooks have bumped Kentucky from -14 to -16.5, which normally would an automatic play on a live underdog. One problem, in the bigger picture this game doesn't mean anything to the Blue Raiders, having to beat UAB next week to advance to C-USA title game. See the issue? Update - The line is unchanged, with the public luck warm on the underdog, but most sharp action bettors have the Wildcats.

Betting Trend - Was 58% backing Middle Tennessee, now 57%

Doug's VPID Take - Lean Kentucky 

CFB – (349) OHIO STATE at (350) MARYLAND  12:00 ET  ABC

Nobody is trusting Ohio State anymore, as they have slipped three points to -14 at Maryland. More than enough bettors have seen the Buckeyes struggle and Urban Meyer's gyrations from his frustration over his team's play. Nonetheless, consider the SU winner of a Terps game is 10-0 ATS this season. Any questions? Update - Ohio State is back up a tick and on the hook at -14.5. I prefer the Buckeyes but their road rushing defense has been very substandard compared to normal, which is a real concern. I soften opinion on Ohio State and will just side with them.

Betting Trend - Was 68% backing Ohio State, now 71%

Doug's VPID Take - Lean Ohio State

CFB – (367) SYRACUSE vs. (368) NOTRE DAME  2:30 ET  NBC

Notre Dame might only be permitting 18.7 PPG, but evidently, you can toss that out the window, as the total in this game is up to 66 after starting at 63.5. Syracuse is averaging 44.4 PPG and the Irish's offense figures to be in better hands with QB Ian Book back. Here is a thought to ponder, the Orange are 8-1 UNDER versus teams averaging 450 or more yards a game. Update - This total has dropped a half point each of the last two days to 65. Again another nasty choice, but I have this at 34-28 Irish, causing me to think UNDER.

Betting Trend - Was 66% backing Over, now 63%

Doug's VPID Take - Lean Under

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