Another big weekend of sports wagering ahead and we have all the line moves, plus, baseball series betting (I only use series of interest and those with competitive numbers.) Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks (13-8-1 of late) and predictions to see what we are thinking about today. See you back here next week.
NBA – (553) BOSTON at (554) INDIANA 8:35 ET ABC
After two games in this series that never even sniffed an Over, why would the total rise from 203.5 to 205.5? Great question, which I have no answer for you. Here is what I do know, Indiana is 23-10 UNDER as a home favorite and 22-10 UNDER when playing winning teams. For good measure, Boston is 15-5 UNDER in road games versus teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points a game. Yea, taking the UNDER.
Betting Trend - 70% backing Over
Doug's VPID Take - Play Under
MLB – (905) WASHINGTON at (906) MIAMI 7:10 ET MASN2, FSFL
Washington is only 9-8, but with Miami 4-15 and realistically playing out the rest of the season so they can trade more assets either during or after the season to stay perpetually terrible, we have a developing situation. The Marlins have swum from +130 to +100, with faith in left-hander Caleb Smith (1-0, 2.65 ERA), who has 21 strikeouts in 17 innings. However, former Fish Anibal Sanchez (0-1, 4.86) has pitched well in last two outings and he's 12-4 vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse the last two seasons. (Team's Record) Additionally, NL teams like Miami when the money line is +125 to -125, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games, are 8-32 since 2015.
Betting Trend - 79% backing Washington
Doug's VPID Take - Washington wins
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