AL Wild Card game in-depth analysis and pick



A breakdown of the stats for tonight's AL Wild card game between the Twins and Yankees.

Tonight MLB Action

AL Wild Card Game: Twins vs. Yankees

Minnesota Twins     (+240)
New York Yankees  (-260)
Total                              7

Tonight proves to be a very interesting MLB match up. Right now the New York Yankees are -1.5 (-120) price, and a (-260) ML favorite. As most know, the Yankees bullpen is considerably stronger than the Minnesota Twins, and they are ranked higher in a few of our value categories.

The Yankees are #1 in the AL in Defensive Eff. while the Twins are #7. Offensive eff, the Yankees are #2 in the AL, while the Twins are #4. Both teams are top 5 in the AL in on base pct, so both teams are able to score some runs, however, the test will be in a first time starter in Severino, and how he performs under the big lights, and also if if the Yankees can hit Santana early and score some runs.

If so, I see the Yankees to have a considerable advantage if the game gets into the latter innings with New York being ahead. However, in projecting values for our play tonight, Minnesota does have some ability to score, and Santana can keep them in the game early. From an analytics stand point, I look for value. Here, I see the Twins with great value in the first 5 inning run line play. Minn (+0.5) +145. Also, the OVER 7 is a strong value play for tonight's game.

AL Wild Card picks

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